Clearly, the Derby winning Mine That Bird deserves to be favored. Usually, coming out of the Derby and Preakness is the kiss of Death simply because of such hard surfaces in 2 weeks time, but this year the surfaces had a bit of cushion. This doesn't mean Bird will automatically be unhurt, but his chances are much better. Still, while he outran his bloodlines in the Derby, and ran true to them in the Preakness, we can figure the Derby is the one race against form, and that he won't run as well in the Belmont.
The Preakness had a fairly soft field, as usual. Mine That Bird is still the class. Dunkirk can be excused his one clunker in the Derby. The big question is how soft were the California invaders? Since Pioneer of the Nile ran second in the Derby, one can give credibility to the West Coast this year, at least in the odds.

