Friday Cup and other Churchill races posted by Johnny Matheis

I'll be working the simulcast for it at Turfway Friday evening and Saturday morning, so I probbly won't have time to talk about Saturday's races.

So I'll talk about Friday's.

I'm not too excited about this year, which is a good thing. McGuaghey only has two entires in all of the Breeder Cup races. Zito only has two I think. All of these are long shots. Nafzger has none. The big trainers are just not in. Kiarin McClglughin has a few. Of course Baffert does. Pletcher does.

Keeneland's meet ended last weekend, and what was noticable was how poor the trainers were. Keeneland is supposed to be the premier track of the world, with the best trainers, but every runner seemed to regress in fourth and fifth races off layoffs. Lukas outtrained these guys, so that's bad. Worst training I ever saw in a meet.

Favorites have been winning a lot in Kentucky, but if it's anything like Keeneland, these aren't true morning line favorites, but hot tips. Low prices usually mean crooked stables. What this means is that instead of running true to form and having good payoffs, stables give too many good "hot tips" and the payoffs are ridiculously low for the winner, according to past performances and other stats.  

But the Breeder Cup races are tailor made for high prices, because these are supposedly the best, so anyone can win.

The three races leading into the Cup races feature 2 who have amazing class for their races, and should be nearly even money favorites, but that doesn't mean they will. The first is a more wide open race, but VICTORY NOTION should prevail. The second and third should see JOIN IN THE DANCE and NOBLE PROMISE win easily on form and pay small, so if they don't, and if they're overlays, look for the mob to run the show again at Churchill.
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No pleasure in reporting horsemen cheating posted by Johnny Matheis

Kentucky is one of the most crooked in the country in most things, Horse racing included. You can't tell by "reports", because a truly corrupt system will not report abuses.

But we knew they would do it for the huge pick six carry over Thursday. And I watched, and found an obvious cheat.

Contrary to belief, it isn't the jockey who is to be watched. They try to stay aboard an animal and hold on for their health. It is the trainer who can "juice up" a horse. "Juicing up" may or may not involve illegal substances, but it involves having a horse ready or not. This is okay, as long as it is not blabbed to all the sports writers, trainers, and hoodlums who bet it down.

In the eighth race, which was the 4th leg of the pick six, CLASSIC EMILY was one that looked to route this group on paper. She figured to go off at 2-1. She already manhandled most of them, and the only real competition looked to be from PROUDLY IRISH, who should have been second choice around 4-1.

In fact, CLASSIC EMILY was probably a KEY horse to most pick six bettors who handicap without the inside dope.

THOMAS AMOSS trained SUN VALLEY STORM, who ran 9th to CLASSIC EMILY just two months ago. Did I say ninth out of nine? While CLASSIC EMILY won? Did I mention that it was the same distance of six furlongs? Did I mention that CLASSIC EMILY beat SUN VALLEY STORM by 19 1/4 lengths, which is roughly 4 seconds, in  six furlongs the difference between Graded Stakes $200,000 competition and horses who run for $3500 claimers?

Now the fact that SUN VALLEY STORM won the race wasn't the crooked part. There are upsets. What is crooked is when SUN VALLEY STORM goes off at 3-1, and CLASSIC EMILY goes off at 4-1.

BOXed in posted by Johnny Matheis

I didn't make a post before the Florida Derby, because nothing really stood out. The two Zito horses looked as good as any, but the question was whether a "patient" trainer like Zito would have them firing for this or for later. I put two to win on each, but since ICE BOX was more experienced that MINER'S RESERVE, I put a little extra on him

Also, at 1 1/8 mile, ICE BOX was approaching his better distance thatMiner. MINER'S RESERVE is a son of MINESHAFT, and out of a FORY NINER dam, Royal Reserves. FORTY NINER is still long sprint bloodlines. Good bloodlines, but still not a natural Grade 1 classic distance runner.

Still, both are useful. ICE BOX began his career at Saratoga at age 2 in early August. he ran 4 races as a 2 year old, which is enough for experience, but not excessive enough to break down. He broke his maiden in his last race as a 2 year old at a mile and 70 yards. He then raced January at Gulfstream to win an allowance race, then made a good forward move in the Grade 2 Fountain of Youth, the prep for the Florida Derby, to finish 5th.

What we're wondering now is if he, or any of the other Florida Derby runners, are Kentucky Derby possible winners. It looked like a weak field going in, but a Grade 1 is usually strongest when it is up and comers who don't look so good on paper.

Times are not as important as the bloodlines, trainer, class, campagin strategy, and probable fitness. ICE BOX came out of a fairly fast race with a month rest. So this is the guideline to look for an optimum effort.

On bloodlines, he is the son of PULPIT, good enough, out of a TOBASCO CAT dam, which pushes it for distance.   

Phillies take a Halladay posted by David

After the way Cliff Lee pitched against the Yankees in the World Series six weeks ago, I would have been surprised to hear that the Phillies were even listening to offers for their ace.  But when the chance to acquire Roy Halladay comes around, I suppose any team would be crazy not to listen.  Before I knew it, Halladay was a Phillie and Lee was heading to Seattle, where he’ll join his third club in the span of four and a half months.  How often does that happen to the defending Cy Young Award winner?

Mauer wins Triple Crown in my book

No major leaguer has won the Triple Crown since Carl Yastrzemski in 1967, but this year Joe Mauer did lead the American League in what should be the three Triple Crown categories: batting average (.365), on-base percentage (.444), and slugging percentage (.587).  Home runs are exciting and contribute to a higher slugging percentage, but if I were a manager, I’d much rather see my cleanup hitter go 3-4 than hit a solo shot and strike out three times trying to do it again.  Reaching 100 RBI’s in a season is a nice accomplishment, but the stat itself is overrated.  If all nine guys in the lineup are getting on base 40 percent of the time, it doesn’t matter who is driving them in; someone must be.

Granderson to patrol center in the Bronx

At the Winter Meetings in Indianapolis last week, the Yankees landed themselves a great centerfielder in Curtis Granderson.  Many of Granderson’s fans – myself included – were disappointed that he will be wearing Pinstripes next season.  Even so, I’ll keep rooting for him wherever he goes.  Of all the people I met at the World Baseball Classic, he was the happiest to be there.  I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: Curtis Granderson is the truest friend of the game.

Breeders Cup weekend - will it answer questions or create them? posted by Jan Hoadley

Breeders Cup weekend started yesterday with an incredible performance in the Marathon. The gritty 9 year old Cloudy's Knight loped to the lead coming out of the turn and looked to be a winner until Man of Iron loomed on the inside. Coming out of the turn it shows what this weekend is all about. Both horses dug down for every ounce of energy they had and it took a photo to separate them. Perhaps Cloudy's Knight didn't see the challenger in time but the gutsy old guy fought back not giving up and driving back desperately.

 Yesterday was "ladies day" with features that included some of the top fillies. We saw the two year old She Be Wild get the Breders Cup Juvenile fillies while Midday captured the Filly & Mare Turf. Some said the Ladies Classic would be less than normal without Zenyatta, but such was not the case. Careless Jewell opened up to roll away from the field but couldn't hold on. Her strides shortened on the turn and in the stretch Life is Sweet romped to the front opened up by daylight - awesome race.

 Today are some bigger questions. Will Zenyatta beat the boys is the biggest with one of the most exciting Classic fields in some time. If she does it seems she's certainly earned Horse of the Year. I know Rachel Alexander has done a lot and at this point - BC morning - the 3 year old filly has credentials for the honor. She's done all that has been asked of her. She's set records. However, if Zenyatta should win the Classic, she would too. Beating the best in the world - I think she's a wrap for older mare as is Rachel for 3 year old (mare and top 3 year old) - but the Classic is where Zenyatta really has little to lose. If she wins she's the reigning queen. If she doesn't she's still the best older mare. Many believe this is a big step up but that's where we find the best.

The Thoroughbred World Loses Legends posted by Jan Hoadley

It's been a tough month for champions in the TB world. As mentioned in a previous post Gone West was lost. The others are also major horses that have left fans reeling.

 There's the loss, to a heart attack in his pasture, of popular sire El Prado of the 21st.

On the heels of hearing that was news of Summer Squall being euthanized due to age. Summer Squall chased Unbridled in one of the most memorable Derby races of all time. Summer Squall came back in the Preakness to the race that defined the gutsy race horse.

Sitting fourth down the backside Summer Squall put it in gear with Unbridled on the outside as they sat down for a drive and they collared the leader with Unbridled and Summer Squall head to head for several strides  then drawing off to an impressive win.

Today news came of two more major losses in Cryptoclearance and Kona Gold.

Cryptoclearance maybe didn't win a Triple Crown but he was always right there knocking at the wire. Now 25 he had a heart attack from complilcations following colic surgery.

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5 Top True Sports Movies posted by Jan Hoadley

The best sports movies can vary. What sport you like makes a difference too! There's classics like Chariots of Fire and underrated like Prefontaine and can't miss Friday Night Lights. For the horse racing fan there are special movies too. The five best in my opinion are not only for the horses they represent but the larger than life story around them. In no particular order, check these out!  ( MORE)

We're Seeing History posted by Jan Hoadley

Rachel Alexandra won the Woodward Stakes today in a smoking time of 1:48.1 holding off a hard charging Macho Again. She still has critics. She has won from coast to coast, at the top, against fillies, against 3 year olds, now against older horses. She has a perfect, unblemished season. She's been criticized she didn't "work for it" in some races - can't be said for the Woodward. There were several gunning for her waiting for a mistake from the three year old filly who dared tread outside her gender AND age! It's criticized she won't be at the Breeders Cup but it seems like unless something spectacular happens then she's done everything she needs to do for Horse of the Year, top 3 year old, top 3 year old filly and only Zenyatta arguably could stand between her and a clean sweep to best female running.

 For many racing isn't about the Pick 6 or the Daily Double. Many who enjoy a good horse never bet a trifecta and wouldn't think of dropping a hundred dollar bet on horses betting. They're no less important to the sport. No female has won the Woodward - ever! The word "great" and "legend" is bantered about too often.

 This is an incredibly special horse. She's running on level with speed figures of Sunday Silence, she's maybe not against Derby winners as Slew/Affirmed challenged..but is that her fault? Where is last year's Derby winner? What should she prove?

Human nature wants to push the limits. By pushing limits we find how good a horse is but each time is a risk. While many criticize for not running Rachel in the Breeders Cup due to the poly track recent studies shows it's a very real risk indeed! If a horrific breakdown occurs is it worth it to see her and Zenyatta? The answer in hindsight is always no and accusations of greed and cruelty - but before hand people scream for speed. Foolish Pleasure and Ruffian. Bayakoa and Go For Wand.

Great Sports Moments in Horse Racing posted by Jan Hoadley

 Horse racing has some of the highest highs and the lowest lows. There are stories that are quite unlike other sports because the main players do not care about prize money or earnings and have no concept of retirement. The horses themselves either have the will to run and compete or they don't, and if they don't there is no amount of whipping that will make them be a champion.

In looking for the best moments in the sport several come to mind not only for the horses themselves but the people around them.

Continue HERE.

Tips For Betting The Ponies posted by Chris Johnson

In the world of horse racing, many people chose to watch the races for the excitement. There are the novice horse wager, who will choose a horse to bet on, by their appearance. When it comes to the more seasoned veteran of horse gambling, they take an even broader approach to choosing a winning horse. Now there are those who look at just the winning horse, the top two, or the tri-vecta (top three).

There are several books on the market to help teach a “system” of betting on the results in horse racing. Then there are those who choose to create there own “system” that works for them.

When it comes to horse racing, there is no “sure-fire” way to pick the winning horse every time. To choose the horses that are more likely to win a race, there are several factors to consider. How did the horse perform in its last race, its last 5 races, its last 10 races, the jockey, the weather, the turf, etc. All of these factors come into play, when a person bets their “hard-earned” money on a horse race.

First, let’s get ourselves a racing form, not the free racing forms at the horse track, but the Daily Racing Form. This will give us more information to make our chooses by. Look at the last 10 races the horses competed in. Some will say the best place in handicapping the horses is to look at the trainer and jockey. Though checking our the trainer and jockey is a part of the process, it’s the horse that really matters.  

When checking the last 10 horse races, you have to keep in mind the amounts of money the horses competed for. This helps to determine the higher-grade of horse you’re looking at. Higher rated horses usually have a determining factor in the outcome of other horse races. If the horse competed against higher earning horses, and lost, then that information aides in determining the horses ability to win. Look at the finishing position and speed figures, this will aide you in the determining factors or the race. Always attempt to not bet on horses that are moving up in grades. These horses have a more difficult time adjusting to the tempo or pace, of a higher-grade race.
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Dangerous Lad wins Big A feature (AP)

Dangerous Lad, the 3-2 favorite, beat Personal Assistant by 41/4 lengths on Friday in the $51,000 allowance feature for 3-year-olds at muddy Aqueduct. The gelding, trained by John Terranova II and ridden by apprentice Irad Ortiz Jr., won for the second time in three starts. The time was 1:12.38 for the six furlongs on the fast track. [read full article]

From Yahoo! Sports

Rachel Alexandra, foal taken to hospital (AP)

A spokeswoman says Rachel Alexandra, the 2009 Horse of the Year, and her newborn colt have been taken to an equine clinic for pain management related to the birth. Spokeswoman Caroline Shaw said in an email Friday that Rachel Alexandra and the colt are expected to return to Stonestreet Farm in a couple of days, barring unforeseen issues. [read full article]

From Yahoo! Sports

HBO places its bets on horse racing drama 'Luck' (AP)

David Milch had the script for a horse racing drama kicking around in his head for 30 years. The screenwriter and producer was just too busy living it to put words to paper. As a 6-year-old, Milch first accompanied his father to the racetrack in Saratoga Springs, N.Y. He was too young to wager, but Milch's father worked things out anyway. [read full article]

From Yahoo! Sports

Funky Munky Mama wins Big A feature (AP)

Funky Munky Mama, the 3-2 favorite, led all the way on Thursday at Aqueduct, beating Superior Sarah by three quarters of a length in the $54,000 allowance feature for fillies and mares bred in New York. Apprentice Irad Ortiz, Jr. rode for trainer Gary Gullo as the 4-year-old improved to 3 for 12. The time was 1:11.85 for six furlongs over the fast track. [read full article]

From Yahoo! Sports

Hearts on Fire wins Oaklawn Park feature (AP)

Hearts on Fire edged Quest for Success by a neck Thursday in the $41,000 feature race for fillies and mares at Oaklawn Park. Ridden by Alex Birzer, Hearts on Fire ran 6 furlongs in 1:13.92 and paid $14.20, $6 and $5.20. Quest for Success returned $4.40 and $3.40, and Bent Missile paid $3.60 to show. [read full article]

From Yahoo! Sports